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gjm comments on Rationality Quotes October 2014 - Less Wrong Discussion
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But the link doesn't say it was from a German Army War College publication. It just says "In an official Army War College publication". All hydkyll's reasons for thinking it likely to be from another country seem strong to me.
You are right, I added "German" for clarity because I assumed it was true given the context then forgot I had done this. Sorry.