I imagine that for the one minute between 10:59 and 11:00, my emotional state would be dominated by excitement about whether this crazy idea will actually work, and maybe if I can snap my fingers at just a second before the time on the clock switches, it'll be like I actually just cast a magic spell that teleports me to a tropical paradise. There's also the fun of the moments when first arriving in a tropical paradise and realising that it actually worked, which is a bit wireheadey to invoke repeatedly 1,000 times, but the fact that it's to fulfil a past oath should justify it enough to not feel icky about it.
For some time I've been pondering on a certain scenario, which I'll describe shortly. I hope you may help me find a satisfactory answer or at very least be as perplexed by this probabilistic question as me. Feel free to assign any reasonable a priori probabilities as you like. Here's the problem:
It's cold cold winter. Radiators are hardly working, but it's not why you're sitting so anxiously in your chair. The real reason is that tomorrow is your assigned upload (and damn, it's just one in million chance you're not gonna get it) and you just can't wait to leave your corporality behind. "Oh, I'm so sick of having a body, especially now. I'm freezing!" you think to yourself, "I wish I were already uploaded and could just pop myself off to a tropical island."
And now it strikes you. It's a weird solution, but it feels so appealing. You make a solemn oath (you'd say one in million chance you'd break it), that soon after upload you will simulate this exact moment thousand times simultaneously and when the clock strikes 11 AM, you're gonna be transposed to a Hawaiian beach, with a fancy drink in your hand.
It's 10:59 on a clock. What's the probability that you'd be in a tropical paradise in one minute?
And to make things more paradoxical: What would be said probability, if you wouldn't have made such an oath - just seconds ago?