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ChristianKl comments on Open thread, Oct. 13 - Oct. 19, 2014 - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: MrMind 13 October 2014 08:17AM

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Comment author: ChristianKl 15 October 2014 12:43:03PM 2 points [-]

The CDC estimates a best-case scenario of 20,000 cases by January and a worst-case scenario of about 1.5 million cases by January.

What kind of confidence interval lies between best case and worst case?

Comment author: Lumifer 15 October 2014 02:29:28PM 3 points [-]

A better question is what kind of a distribution do they think they're looking at -- in particular, whether it's bimodal.

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