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DanielLC comments on Open thread, Oct. 13 - Oct. 19, 2014 - Less Wrong Discussion
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I think it's more likely for a disease that spreads through aerosol to mutate to become as deadly as Ebola. Like with SARS.
Um, diseases are generally under selection pressure to become less deadly, not more.
That just means that the mutant strain won't be as virulent as it otherwise would. It won't keep the mutation from happening.
Yes, and SARS was quite easily contained, a less virulent strain would be even easier.
You're probably right. I think if we're interested in the risk of superbugs we should be interested in the aggregate, not individual pathogens.