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Liso comments on Superintelligence 6: Intelligence explosion kinetics - Less Wrong Discussion

9 Post author: KatjaGrace 21 October 2014 01:00AM

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Comment author: KatjaGrace 17 October 2014 11:49:56PM 3 points [-]

A step change in the rate of gain in average organizational efficiency is perhaps conceivable, but it is hard to see how even the most radical scenario of this kind could produce anything faster than a slow takeoff, since organizations operated by humans are confined to work on human timescales. (p67)

It seems a bit unclear how fast 'human timescales' are, especially since organizations usually consist of humans and other equipment. Are securities traded at human timescales? What are the speed limits for organizations of humans?

Comment author: Liso 21 October 2014 09:47:42PM 3 points [-]

Lemma1: Superintelligence could be slow. (imagine for example IQ test between Earth and Mars where delay between question and answer is about half hour. Or imagine big clever tortoise which could understand one sentence per hour but then could solve riemann hypothesis)

Lemma2: Human organization could rise quickly. (It is imaginable that bilions join organization during several hours)

Next theorem is obvious :)