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gjm comments on A quick calculation on exercise - Less Wrong Discussion
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I largely agree, but a lot of the benefits may not be apparent for 10 years or more. A feedback loop that long is hard to use and not strongly motivating for most people.
I struggle to think of any benefits which become apparent after 10 years. Longevity could be one, but it kinda never becomes apparent. And for specific long-term results (e.g. you don't develop the metabolic syndrome in your middle age because you were a runner in your 20s and 30s) there's little hard data.
That was rather my point. (Note that I said "10 years or more".)
[EDITED to fix a trivial typo.]