ChristianKl comments on Non-standard politics - Less Wrong Discussion
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If the US became completely isolationist, including pulling out all support from NATO and dismantling the nuclear umbrella, I'd predict the next Franco-German war in 20 years max (possibly sooner).
Edit: since it wasn't clear judging by the replies, I never said that the war would start with a German attack on France.
Which what credence?
Why the heck should Germany want to wage war in the next 20 years on France?
Why should an isolationist US lead to a weaker EU instead of the EU coming more together?