You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

AlexSchell comments on Should we go all in on existential risk? - Considering Effective Altruism - Less Wrong Discussion

4 Post author: Capla 10 November 2014 11:23PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Article Navigation

Comments (43)

Comments (43)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: AlexSchell 16 November 2014 01:07:10AM 0 points [-]

You don't imagine that when someone, say, characterizes a financial asset as having the expected return of 5% with 20% volatility, these probabilities are precise, do you?

Those are not even probabilities at all.

Comment author: Lumifer 16 November 2014 07:57:32PM 0 points [-]

Such an expression usually implies a normal probability distribution with the given mean and standard deviation. How do you understand probabilities as applied to continuous variables?

Powered by Reddit Powered by Reddit