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Baughn comments on Musk on AGI Timeframes - Less Wrong Discussion
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I agree with the rest of your comment, but calling him a "Cassandra" means "He's right, but no-one will believe him," and I hope that isn't what you meant!
An applicable morality tale here would be the boy that cried wolf, if he hadn't retracted his post. I don't remember if he had a name. (Elon Musk: Inverse Cassandra.)
Stöffler might have the best name among those who failed to update properly.