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JoshuaFox comments on Superintelligence 11: The treacherous turn - Less Wrong Discussion
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To play the treacherous turn gambit, the AI needs to get strong at faking weakness faster than it gets strong at everything else. What are the chances of that?
I hear you and kind of agree. On the other hand, when a 3-year old lies, sometimes they to pull it off.
I feel like the chances of a treacherous turn happening with no warning at all are unlikely unless the intelligence rise is very rapid. However, it also seems that past a certain point, the treachery will be very hard to detect. Risk may not be so much that there are no warning signs, but that the warning signs are ignored.