You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

SilentCal comments on Bayes Academy: Development report 1 - Less Wrong Discussion

47 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 19 November 2014 10:35PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (27)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: SilentCal 21 November 2014 11:05:31PM *  2 points [-]

Hmm... so the following events need to successively introduce necessary concepts. Not sure when you want to incorporate 'do' operations; I'd guess a good bit later, once inference is well established (but I could also envision basic ones sooner). You might teach the player to navigate larger networks next, and introduce some simple decisions.

Maybe have a case where the node of interest is the majority vote of three nodes (N1, N2, N3). N1 is observable for cost 3, and is itself the majority vote of three nodes that are observable with cost 2. N2 is observable with cost 3, and is the deterministic is child of an observable node of cost 2. N3 is hidden. You have 5 actions.

ETA: Also want more complicated examples incorporating the collision-inference stuff from the expects-an-answer-or-is-looking-at-a-monster scenario.