RichardKennaway comments on Open thread, Dec. 1 - Dec. 7, 2014 - Less Wrong Discussion
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I wonder why people like us who talk about wanting to "live forever" don't think more seriously about what that could mean in terms of overturning our current assumptions and background conditions, if our lives stretch into centuries and then into mlllennia.
I started to think about this based on something Mike Darwin wrote on his blog a few years back:
http://chronopause.com/chronopause.com/index.php/2011/04/19/cryonics-nanotechnology-and-transhumanism-utopia-then-and-now/index.html
So, for example, I've started to question the assumption that the social ideology we've inherited from the Enlightenment - a recent intellectual movement only 300 years old - has gotten locked in as a permanent part of the human condition. Now I wouldn't assume anything of the sort, and I can see the likelihood of Neoreactionary future societies. Even if we don't get that way because of the inherent weaknesses of the Enlightenment Project itself, we could stumble into them regardless through a drunkard's walk.
I also like to ask christians why their religion can't disappear eventually, and I don't mean through that ridiculous rapture belief some simple-minded evangelicals hold. From the perspective of people living ten thousand years from now, assuming humans survive, their dominant world religion might have started sometime between now and then, and if knowledge of christianity still exists then, only a few academic specialists would know anything about it from fragmentary evidence.
In practical terms, this perspective helps me to disengage from current events that don't matter much in the long run. At my current age (55), for example, American Presidents come and go subjectively quickly, so I tend to ignore them as much as possible compared with longer-term trends like the demographic social engineering in the U.S. that bloggers like Steve Sailer write about. I also tend to ignore geek fads that will allegedly "change everything," like Bitcoin, 3D printing and seasteading, until the beta testers beat the hell out of these innovations and we can get a more realistic view of what they can do despite what the hype and propaganda say.
So what do you think about the conditions of human life over, say, the next 300 years?
Global warming; Islam; a cure for ageing; practical use of space; AI; something else. To know anything about the next 300 years one would have to know how all of these pan out.
Are there any lesser cultural or technological trends that, if they panned out, you expect might have just as great an impact as the greater trends you've just mentioned above? I'm interested in your thoughts in this regard.
Getting more information out of less data, with the notable current example being discovering exoplanets from tiny variations in starlight and the history of humanity and other lifeforms from DNA.
I'm expecting this trend to continue, but I have no idea what else it will apply to.
I'm sure there must be. That was just a list of what immediately came to mind, with a catchall at the end. The Great Stagnation? Dysgenic breeding patterns? Malthusian limitations closing in? Genetically modified humans? Rationalism going viral? ("There is no God but Bayes and Eliezer is His prophet.") Rationalism going viral differently? ("Neuroscience proves that you do not exist. I do not exist. Even Eliezer does not exist. Room 101 exists.")