How about putting numbers on it? Without doing so, your argument is quite vague.
I would estimate the cumulative probability as the ballpark of 0.1%
Have you actually looked at the relevant LW census numbers for what "we are hoping"?
I was actually referring to the apparent consensus what I see among researchers, but it's indeed vague. I should look up the numbers if they exist.
I was actually referring to the apparent consensus what I see among researchers, but it's indeed vague.
Most researchers don't do cryonics. I think a good majority of LW anti-aging research is underfunded. I don't buy the thesis that people who do cryonics are investing less effort into other ways of fighting aging.
I should look up the numbers if they exist.
The 2013 LW census asked a questions : "P(Anti-Agathics) What is the probability that at least one person living at this moment will reach an age of one thousand years, conditional on no gl...
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