But it's only bad because you made the mistake of updating by A2. I often notice a different problem of people to always argue A=0 and then present alternative belief C with no evidence. On some issues, we can't get a great A, but if the best evidence available points to B we should still assume it's B.
it's only bad because you made the mistake of updating by A2
Agreed.
if the best evidence available points to B we should still assume it's B
Agreed.
I often notice a different problem of people to always argue A=0 and then present alternative belief C with no evidence.
Yes, I notice that too, and I agree both that it's a problem, and that it's a different problem.
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
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