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Gunnar_Zarncke comments on [link] On the abundance of extraterrestrial life after the Kepler mission - Less Wrong Discussion
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That doesn't sound crazy at all. I mean at least not to me. At least not at 1 o'clock in the morning. It sounds like the most likely solution given complexity considerations. It is the most likely Tegmark 4 instance with weights inverse to complexity/size as in Solomonoff induction.