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owencb comments on Make your own cost-effectiveness Fermi estimates for one-off problems - Less Wrong Discussion

9 Post author: owencb 11 December 2014 12:00PM

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Comment author: owencb 17 December 2014 05:11:03PM *  1 point [-]

Seems interesting. Paul Christiano looked into some of these figures, and without deeper investigation I'm happy to use figures from that.

It suggests R(0) = $0.5b, and B = $200B. Putting that into the spreadsheet gets a benefit:cost ratio of about 140 to 1.