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buybuydandavis comments on Signalling with T-Shirt slogans - Less Wrong Discussion

7 Post author: Gunnar_Zarncke 21 December 2014 11:37AM

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Comment author: buybuydandavis 22 December 2014 01:40:52AM 8 points [-]

"When you have eliminated the
impossible whatever remains
however improbable must be the truth."

There's a big problem with that. Eliminating the impossible does not ensure that you have thought of everything that is possible. This is classic "proof by lack of imagination".

Jaynes "something else" hypothesis in multiple hypothesis testing can keep you from this error.