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AmagicalFishy comments on Stupid Questions January 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion

8 Post author: Gondolinian 01 January 2015 02:30AM

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Comment author: AmagicalFishy 12 January 2015 03:21:53AM 2 points [-]

Why is the Newcomb problem... such a problem? I've read analysis of it and everything, and still don't understand why someone would two-box. To me, it comes down to:

1) Thinking you could fool an omniscient super-being 2) Preserving some strictly numerical ideal of "rationality"

Time-inconsistency and all these other things seem totally irrelevant.

Comment author: ike 12 January 2015 03:54:59AM 0 points [-]

Well, there are people who would say the same thing but in reverse. There is a rationale behind that, even if I think it's wrong.

I don't think two-boxers think they can fool an omniscient super-being. They do think that whatever is in the box cannot be changed now, so it's foolish to give away $1,000. Would you one-box even with transparent boxes? If not, then you understand this logic. There's a reasonable argument there, especially as in the original paradox Omega is not perfect, so there's a chance that you'll get nothing while passing up $1,000.