bogus comments on Tentative Thoughts on the Cost Effectiveness of the SENS Foundation - Less Wrong Discussion
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Comments (19)
This seems backwards to me. GiveWell's third-world aid probably has big indirect effects, since it's acting to lift these societies from a bad equilibrium of enduring poverty and underdevelopment. SENS is an interesting research program within gerontology, but that's the kind of thing that's going to be pursued anyway if there's any chance of it being useful. We see this quite directly with RepleniSENS, i.e. stem-cell research, which is a thriving field already - there's no reason why this could not apply to other parts of the SENS project. Sustained economic growth in the third world would be a big boon to all sorts of science anyway, due to increased scale if nothing else.
If I agreed with this then I'd be more positive about givewell. I think it's wishful thinking, though. In reality, societies in Africa are not in a bad equilibrium primarily because of malaria or malnutrition, they're in a bad equilibrium because of the backwards values that African people hold, such as loyalty to the tribe/extended family rather than the state, lack of support for western values like accountable government, basic rationality, equality under the law, fair enforcement of contracts, etc. We don't hear much about this because it doesn't fit with the political narrative of the kind of people who spend their time trying to help the third world.
Malnutrition is the visible surface symptom of "these are uncivilised, backwards people caught in a series of petty tribal wars".
EDIT: Just let me disclaim that this is not supposed to be an excuse to not help the developing world. I think we should help them, but not by giving out food or bed nets or medicine. They need better political and value systems, which we could (and should) give them via charter cities.
Countries with bad institutions (including the bad cultural values you list) generally end up in the middle-income range; there are many examples in Latin America. And there's still hope for these to grow further once civil-society institutions get strong enough. Obviously you can find examples where abject poverty is entirely the fault of bad institutions (North Korea), but that's not the case for the countries that are targeted by top GiveWell charities.
So I looked up the poorest countries in the world. Depending on how you measure it, Malawi, the DR of congo and the Central African Republic are at the bottom.
Wikipedia on the Democratic Republic of Congo:
The Central African Republic
Malawi: