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Vladimir_Nesov comments on Why do you really believe what you believe regarding controversial subjects? - Less Wrong Discussion

7 Post author: iarwain1 04 January 2015 02:32PM

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Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 05 January 2015 12:09:29PM *  5 points [-]

These posts at Slate Star Codex seem relevant:

  • Beware The Man Of One Study

    But I worry that most smart people have not learned that a list of dozens of studies, several meta-analyses, hundreds of experts, and expert surveys showing almost all academics support your thesis – can still be bullshit.

  • The Control Group Is Out Of Control

    How do I know it’s crap? Well, I use my personal judgment. How do I know my personal judgment is right? Well, a smart well-credentialed person like James Coyne agrees with me. How do I know James Coyne is smart? I can think of lots of cases where he’s been right before. How do I know those count? Well, John Ioannides has published a lot of studies analyzing the problems with science, and confirmed that cases like the ones Coyne talks about are pretty common. Why can I believe Ioannides’ studies? Well, there have been good meta-analyses of them. But how do I know if those meta-analyses are crap or not? Well…

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