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New, Brief Popular-Level Introduction to AI Risks and Superintelligence
The very popular blog Wait But Why has published the first part of a two-part explanation/summary of AI risks and superintelligence, and it looks like the second part will be focused on Friendly AI. I found it very clear, reasonably thorough and appropriately urgent without signaling paranoia or fringe-ness. It may be a good article to share with interested friends.
Update: Part 2 is now here.
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Comments (3)
Agree 100%. Wait But Why is very accessible. Previous posts have focused on the Fermi Paradox, procrastination, sentience/consciousness, religion, and immortality. It reads like a very friendly, very accessible Less Wrong.
My one data point:
I don't have much of a formal background in Math, CS or AI. I know a bit from reading LessWrong and Kurzweil though. There weren't any core ideas in the article that were new to me... but Wait But Why has a way of explaining things that is really helpful, and my understanding has definitely been solidified after reading that. Plus it was enjoyable.
This is probably a mistake in the article, because the 2040 median is most likely coming from this survey (www.nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf), and specifically coming from when AI experts were asked what year they could be 50% sure of human level AI coming about. For comparison, the 90% interval was 2075, which paints a very different picture.
Edit: the author has fixed the phrasing on that line