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IlyaShpitser comments on Open thread, Jan. 26 - Feb. 1, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion

6 Post author: Gondolinian 26 January 2015 12:46AM

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Comment author: IlyaShpitser 28 January 2015 08:44:01AM *  1 point [-]

Yes the CODA paper is what I meant.


The right way out is to have a "weird" prior that mirrors frequentist behavior. Which, as the authors point out, is perfectly fine, but why bother? By the way Bayes can't use Horvitz-Thompson directly because it's not a likelihood based estimator, I think you have to somehow bake the entire thing into the prior.


The insight that lets you structure your B setup properly here is sort of coming from "the outside the problem," too.