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Benito comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, January 2015, chapter 103 - Less Wrong Discussion

7 Post author: b_sen 29 January 2015 01:44AM

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Comment author: Benito 30 January 2015 11:51:09PM 3 points [-]

I originally interpreted the following as subtly implying the students were using prediction markets

A sudden air of attentiveness, as of long-standing disputes about to be settled. "Well, finally," someone said, as Millicent tried to catch her breath. "He's only got, what, ten days left to go bad?"

"Eleven days," said the seventh-year who was running the betting pool.

But it seems more likely that eleven days is how long the year has left.

Comment author: MathMage 06 February 2015 06:54:01PM 1 point [-]

They're not mutually exclusive. Doesn't the mention of a betting pool make it pretty explicit?

Comment author: UnclGhost 05 February 2015 01:43:07AM 0 points [-]

That's what I thought too, but any idea why the chapter ends by saying "nine days yet remained"?

Comment author: Benito 05 February 2015 07:05:04PM 0 points [-]

Either EY has made a little error, or the narrator is giving us information outside the minds of the characters. Or something else of course.

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