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Ander comments on Open Thread, Feb. 2 - Feb 8, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion
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To any of you football fans out there, I think the outrage over the Seahawks' decision to throw it on the goal line is a classic example of hindsight bias. Throwing on the goal line is hardly unheard of, and they couldn't run it 3 times anyway. This FiveThirtyEight article explains why throwing actually was a good decision. Anyway, everyone thinks that the decision to throw it was terrible, and I think that they're being victims to the hindsight bias.
I agree. Given that they had one remaining timeout, the sequence of pass, run (timeout), <any play> gave them three chances to score instead of 2.
Still, its quite possible that a less risky throw might have been superior, even if it was lower chance of success.
As it was, that throw was inches away from being the game winning touchdown instead of the game losing interception.