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CronoDAS comments on Questions from an imaginary statistical methods exam - Less Wrong Discussion
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Follow-up question:
1) You've flipped a (fair) coin 100 times and recorded the results. The odds of you having gotten that exact sequence is 1 in 2^100, or about one in 10^30. Things that improbable just don't happen, so if you tell me your sequence, why should I believe you?