MattG comments on Have you changed your mind recently? - Less Wrong Discussion
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Out of curiosity, what changed your mind to make you think it would occur sooner?
I'm having incredibly confused thoughts after reading that article you posted recently on the subject. A surprising number of experts seem to think that GAI is near... but there hasn't seem to have been many advances in actually creating a GAI.
The article :)
I'm not the best person to address this, but there's constant development in ANI, processing speed and memory, neuroscience, math etc. and I think that all of this is implicitly progress towards AGI.