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Vaniver comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, February 2015, chapter 111 - Less Wrong Discussion

3 Post author: b_sen 25 February 2015 06:52PM

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Comment author: Vaniver 25 February 2015 08:02:30PM 1 point [-]

At which point - seems it's not 50% - should you rather say "I'm predicting this won't happen?"

It seems like it would be determined by the relevant maximum entropy distribution.

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