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TobyBartels comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, February 2015, chapter 112 - Less Wrong Discussion
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That seems to be the only thing that makes sense, but does the text say that anywhere?
It does not. It doesn't quite not say it, either:
1) At 15, Voldemort creates his first Horcrux from Abagail Myrtle.
2) After he "grasp[s] the stupidity of ordinary people", Voldemort decides to invent a better ritual.
3) He spends "years" refining it in his imagination.
4) Quirrel finds one of the Horcruxes which Voldemort had hidden in the "hopeless idiocy of [his] youth"
So, is "when he grasped the stupidity of ordinary people" + "years" < "youth"? It seems unlikely. But I do not think that it is quite ruled out.