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DeVliegendeHollander comments on Against the internal locus of control - Less Wrong Discussion
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"All interesting human behavior is overdetermined." Eric S. Raymond
Seems to be a case of it. I think your point is that if even if you can say predict 80% of outcomes based on external factors only, you it is still possible that you could predict 80% of outcomes based on internal factors only, and this is what overdetermination means.
(This is funny, because it would mean both political sides are right. Lefties are right organizing the world differently could lead to vastly different outcomes, righties are right people choosing to live different would could lead to vastly different outcomes too.)