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lukeprog comments on How urgent is it to intuitively understand Bayesianism? - Less Wrong Discussion

7 Post author: adamzerner 07 April 2015 12:43AM

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Comment author: lukeprog 07 April 2015 02:27:47AM 9 points [-]

Maybe just use odds ratios. That's what I use when I'm trying to make updates on the spot.

Comment author: Dentin 09 April 2015 09:25:57PM 0 points [-]

Nod, I do the same thing. When the prior is very small (or very large), you can effectively just multiply in the odds, and when it's near 50% I generally just derate by 50%.