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adamzerner comments on Lesson learned from HPMOR, only months after... (spoilers from beginning to end) - Less Wrong Discussion

2 Post author: Bound_up 13 April 2015 06:30PM

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Comment author: adamzerner 14 April 2015 12:38:58AM *  0 points [-]

I think I agree with your core point. However:

  1. You can't always ask why. I would have liked to see you talk about this and why you think there was enough evidence to ask why in the example you give.

  2. In retrospect, I believe it was obvious

I don't think obvious is the right word. A lot of smart readers missed out on it too. To me, the more interesting question is why it seems obvious.

Again, I think I agree with your core point and I'm nitpicking a little, but I think the points are worth making.

Comment author: Bound_up 15 April 2015 12:12:27AM 1 point [-]

I can't deny that hindsight bias may be working, despite my awareness of it.

What I can say for sure is that I did in fact never even seek a causal, reductionist explanation for the mysterious dark side or the Q-H resonance, in a cognitive error I see as very comparable to the Wizengamot just accepting that Dementor-scaring was a "Boy-Who-Lived quality" without any explanation.

While it now seems to me that I could have deduced it, that part may be totally false. I didn't even suspect Quirrell until I read about other people doing so. :/