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Good_Burning_Plastic comments on Open Thread, Apr. 20 - Apr. 26, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion

3 Post author: Gondolinian 20 April 2015 12:02AM

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Comment author: ChristianKl 21 April 2015 02:28:10PM *  2 points [-]

A while ago I read that a betting firm rather hires physics or math people than people with degrees in statistics because the statistics folks to often think that real world data is supposed to follow a normal distribution like the textbook example they faced in university.

Outside of specific statistics programs a lot of times statistics classes lead to students simply memorizing recipes and not really developing a good statistical intuition.

Teaching statistics sounds often much better in the abstract than in practice.

Comment author: Good_Burning_Plastic 22 April 2015 05:02:24PM *  3 points [-]

That's a good point, but on the other hand, even thinking that everything is a Gaussian would be a vast improvement over thinking that everything is a Dirac delta and it is therefore not ludicrous to speculate about why some politician's approval rating went down from 42.8% last week to 42.3% today when both figures come from surveys with a sample size of 1600.

Comment author: ChristianKl 22 April 2015 05:15:17PM 1 point [-]

A well trained mathematician or physicist who never took a formal course on statistics likely isn't going to make that error, just as a well trained statistician isn't going to make that error.

I would think that the mathematician is more likely to get this right than the medical doctor who got statistics lessons at med school.