You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

Lumifer comments on The File Drawer Effect and Conformity Bias (Election Edition) - Less Wrong Discussion

31 Post author: Salemicus 08 May 2015 04:51PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (24)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Lumifer 08 May 2015 07:55:04PM 1 point [-]

What do you mean by an outlier in this context? That they screwed up in their methodology, or that by random chance they sampled all the old curmudgeons in some district, but none of the bright young things?

Comment author: JoshuaZ 08 May 2015 08:25:36PM 2 points [-]

Essentially the second, although the first could be a problem also. The point is that the incentive structure isn't there for them to precommit.