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Sable comments on The File Drawer Effect and Conformity Bias (Election Edition) - Less Wrong Discussion
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I wonder if there's some element of cause and effect at work here.
Let's say that I'm a British citizen who supported the Labour party before the election. As I watch BBC, I see that all the polls show that the Labour party will do well.
Does this effect my choice in whether or not to vote?
Personally, I live in a (very) democratic state in the US, to the point where I don't even bother voting for state officials. The "one person can make a difference" argument doesn't seem to hold up for me in the voting booth.
In short: how much do what the polls say effect the actual voting? Is there some way to measure this?