ChristianKl comments on [Link] Throwback Thursday: Are asteroids dangerous? - Less Wrong Discussion
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There's a lot of narrative in the article but no source of where his risk figures come from.
Another source estimates the risk to be two orders of magnitude higher (http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#.VWBSy_ntlBc):
The article was per year, not lifetime odds. Depending on the detailed assumptions, I'd eye ball those two numbers as actually quite close, given the inherent uncertainty.