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Lumifer comments on A survey of the top posters on lesswrong - Less Wrong Discussion

12 Post author: Elo 11 June 2015 01:47AM

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Comment author: Lumifer 11 June 2015 04:11:07PM 2 points [-]

It doesn't seem like there are many competent, determined people who are bold enough to think they can do something great.

The "competent" part is the iffy one, but the startup world is chock-full of "determined people who are bold enough to think they can do something great". The great majority of them, of course, fail.

The problem with making high-stakes bets (e.g. on one's career path) is that the expected outcome of failing will be pretty painful.

Comment author: John_Maxwell_IV 11 June 2015 06:16:19PM 1 point [-]

...yet the ones that succeed end up having a huge impact on the world economy. I'm willing to be a missile that misses its target.

Anyway, we are talking about blog posts here not careers :) The downsides of accidentally writing a lousy blog post are not large.