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Xerographica comments on Roadmap: Plan of Action to Prevent Human Extinction Risks - Less Wrong Discussion
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Hedge hedge hedge! The most successful plant family on Earth is the Orchidaceae. There are around 30,000 different species! Each orchid seed pod can contain a million dust like seeds that are dispersed by the wind. A million seeds is a huge hedge.
The opposite of hedging is to put all your eggs in one basket. Right now humans have all their eggs in one basket... aka "Earth". We also allow a small group of government planners to allocate all our taxes. Coincidence? Nope.
Centralization is always a function of conceit. People think they have enough facts to block/limit hetergeneous activity. The more you appreciate fallibilism the more you appreciate decentralization.
The answer is always tax choice.
How we could do it without space colonization?
The lesson of the potato famine was that crops should be more, rather than less, diverse. The potatoes that were in cultivation didn't have enough genetic variation which is why the the disease had such a huge impact. But if it's true of crops... then it's also true of people. People should be more genetically diverse. This way a new pathogen can't kill all of us. Although I have no idea how you'd practically ensure greater human diversity!!?? History might refer to you as the opposite of Hitler.
Regarding the danger of AI... if greater diversity is better for crops and humans... then it's also better for robots as well. We'll give more resources to the most beneficial robots. Evil robots won't have a leg to stand on.
And war can be eliminated by tax choice.
Interesting fact is that humans are one of less diversed species because our population passed recently through bottle neck and after it experienced rapid growth. Each chimp is more different from any other chimp than any human between each other. This means that we are prone to large pandemic. We are almost clones. So some genetic experiments in embryos may improve situation, but better to invest in the bio safety.
You've said this before and it's wrong the same way it was last time. Orchids produce lots of seeds, but producing lots of seeds doesn't let them survive in more varied environments.