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Heighn comments on Top 9+2 myths about AI risk - Less Wrong Discussion

44 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 29 June 2015 08:41PM

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Comment author: Heighn 12 April 2016 12:49:27PM 0 points [-]

Commenting on the first myth, Yudkowsky himself seems to be pretty sure of this when reading his comment here: http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2016/03/so_far_my_respo.html. I know Yudkowsky's post is written after this LessWrong article, but it still seems relevant to mention.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 12 April 2016 03:23:28PM *  1 point [-]

He is a bit overconfident in that regards, I agree.

Comment author: Heighn 12 April 2016 04:56:16PM 0 points [-]

Agreed, especially when compared to http://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/gcr-report.pdf.

Comment author: Heighn 12 April 2016 05:04:58PM 0 points [-]

Although, now that I think about it, this survey is about risks before 2100, so the 5% risk of superintelligent AI might be that low because some of the responders belief such AI not to happen before 2100. Still, it seems in sharp contrast with Yudkowsky's estimate.