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Stuart_Armstrong comments on Top 9+2 myths about AI risk - Less Wrong Discussion
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Comments (45)
Commenting on the first myth, Yudkowsky himself seems to be pretty sure of this when reading his comment here: http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2016/03/so_far_my_respo.html. I know Yudkowsky's post is written after this LessWrong article, but it still seems relevant to mention.
He is a bit overconfident in that regards, I agree.
Agreed, especially when compared to http://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/gcr-report.pdf.
Although, now that I think about it, this survey is about risks before 2100, so the 5% risk of superintelligent AI might be that low because some of the responders belief such AI not to happen before 2100. Still, it seems in sharp contrast with Yudkowsky's estimate.