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Unnamed comments on Open Thread, Jul. 27 - Aug 02, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion
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I re-analyzed the calibration data, looking at all 10 question averaged together (which I think is a better approach than going question-by-question, for roughly the reasons that D_Malik gives), and found that veterans did better than newbies (and even newbies were pretty well calibrated). I also found similar results for other biases on the 2012 LW survey.