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IlyaShpitser comments on Crazy Ideas Thread, Aug. 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion
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I don't know if I would hate on Hume this much. Hume is pretty big.
I agree with your broader point, though, I think. At the highest levels, EVERYTHING has to go right, including having the hardware, and having a super work ethic, and having a synergistic morale (an irrationally huge view of own importance, etc.)