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Lumifer comments on Robert Aumann on Judaism - Less Wrong Discussion

2 Post author: iarwain1 21 August 2015 07:13PM

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Comment author: Lumifer 22 August 2015 04:32:40PM 0 points [-]

The issue is that without possessing complete information about your environment, you can't actually tell, a priori, which false beliefs are harmless and which ones will lose and lose badly.

I am not sure what is the point that you are making. Without "possessing complete information about your environment" you actually can't tell which of your beliefs are true and which are false. Humans make do with estimates and approximations, as always.

Comment author: [deleted] 22 August 2015 08:36:31PM 0 points [-]

I am not sure what is the point that you are making.

That if you start deliberately believing false things, it's not actually useful, it's harmful. Expected regret almost always goes up from deliberately believing something you know to to be wrong.