ike comments on The Sleeping Beauty problem and transformation invariances - Less Wrong Discussion
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Exactly! To quote Bostrom
Incidentally, I had a question on that paper, and now seems as good a time as any to bring it up. To quote the second-to-last paragraph (this will make no sense unless you've read it)
I didn't really get how this would work. If she doesn't lose anything on the second bet, then that's effectively not a bet. How can losing nothing be part of her expected loss calculations?