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passive_fist comments on Is semiotics bullshit? - Less Wrong Discussion
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If they actually have no logical basis then it would be hard to expect that they would be better than random.
But a feeling that something is likely true is a logical basis, since it is caused by something, and it could be a reason why someone can make correct judgments at a rate better than random. For example, when I tried calibration games, whenever a binary question came up and I had no knowledge of the topic, I guessed based on what I happened to feel was more likely. So for example if the question was "Did team A or team B win the superbowl in 1984?" I had no knowledge of the answer because I am not interested in sports and pay no attention to them. But one of the team names might have felt slightly more familiar than the other, and so I guessed that name.
Following that policy of following my feelings, I was not able to get less than 60% accuracy on the binary questions that I had no real knowledge about.
I interpreted that sentence to mean that the belief itself has no logical basis, not the judgements.
From the standpoint of treating a human being as a rational agent, it makes absolutely no difference whether a judgement is based on feeling, belief, intuition, divine inspiration, etc. All that matters is the decision and the outcome.