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Gleb_Tsipursky comments on Personal story about benefits of Rationality Dojo and shutting up and multiplying - Less Wrong Discussion

7 Post author: Gleb_Tsipursky 26 August 2015 04:38PM

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Comment author: [deleted] 28 August 2015 01:50:16PM 2 points [-]

Save your calculations - you can go back later and judge how well you modelled your future selves.

My wife and I did something very similar 7 years ago when deciding between 3 flats, and recently came across our backs-of-multiple-envelopes calculations. We only considered the one we actually chose and estimated our current weightings for the different spaces. In our initial judgments we had vastly overrated our future use/value of the outdoor space, substantially underrated the kitchen and lounge rooms, and entirely ignored hall and loft storage space which has turned out to be decidedly non-negligible.

We are very happy in the flat so this is not an exercise in regret, hindsight or possible alternative universes - but made us notice that if we are flat hunting again, outdoor space is likely to cost more than it's worth to us.

Comment author: Gleb_Tsipursky 29 August 2015 04:38:06PM 1 point [-]

Yup, I'm saving them indeed, and this discussion post will be useful as we revisit our decision. I'll put a note in my calendar with a link to this post to go back and look at the post again in a year after we move.

Regarding outdoor space, I'm glad that my wife and I figured out in advance that we'll only use it half the year! Thanks for that feedback :-)