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MattG comments on Probabilities Small Enough To Ignore: An attack on Pascal's Mugging - Less Wrong Discussion

20 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 16 September 2015 10:45AM

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Comment author: [deleted] 17 September 2015 12:47:01AM 1 point [-]

If you can lower the probability more than that, of course you can defeat the mugging. And one of the key problems with lowering it more is that it becomes really really hard to update when you get evidence that the mugging is real.