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ike comments on Monty Hall Sleeping Beauty - Less Wrong Discussion

1 Post author: PhilGoetz 18 September 2015 09:18PM

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Tags: beauty sleeping

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Comment author: ike 18 September 2015 09:59:57PM *  1 point [-]

This isn't a new idea. It's mentioned in http://www.anthropic-principle.com/preprints/beauty/synthesis.pdf , for instance.

Also, I believe if you read the (detailed) arguments for each side, you'll find it much harder to reduce them to disagreement over word meaning. Or at least that's what I remember from when I looked at them.

You want to read http://analysis.oxfordjournals.org/content/60/2/143 and http://analysis.oxfordjournals.org/content/61/3/171

Comment author: shminux 18 September 2015 10:06:27PM 0 points [-]

Last two links are paywalled.

Comment author: ike 18 September 2015 10:14:00PM 1 point [-]

https://www.princeton.edu/~adame/papers/sleeping/sleeping.pdf and http://fitelson.org/probability/lewis_sb.pdf

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