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PhilGoetz comments on Monty Hall Sleeping Beauty - Less Wrong Discussion

1 Post author: PhilGoetz 18 September 2015 09:18PM

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Comment author: PhilGoetz 19 September 2015 01:07:51AM 5 points [-]

No; you are asking her two different questions, so it is correct for frequentism to give different answers to the different questions.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 21 September 2015 09:17:31AM *  1 point [-]

Of course. But the two questions are the same outside of anthropic situations; they are two extensions of the underdefined "how often was I right?" Or, if you prefer, the frequentist answer in anthropic situations is dependent on the exact question asked, showing that "anthropic probability" is not a well defined concept.