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MattG comments on Open thread, Sep. 21 - Sep. 27, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion
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Convincing explanation for what? I thought we were discussing whether or not it was worth spending resources to prevent global extinction from global warming... which is more of a question than an explanation.
How is putting a numerical amount to "not likely" and "considerable" convuluted. That's the basis of any decision probelm.
For Torgo's belief. He didn't ask a question, he stated his belief upfront.