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The_Jaded_One comments on Happy Petrov Day - Less Wrong Discussion

9 Post author: Eneasz 26 September 2015 03:41PM

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Comment author: Vaniver 27 September 2015 01:38:50PM 5 points [-]

I haven't seen a convincing closure of the debate about whether Petrov was actually the only serious obstacle to WWIII.

In general, it's good to reward people from stopping a mistake even if they are not the last possible place for it to be caught. Defense in depth!

Yeltsin decided not to retaliate in 1995, during another false alarm. It is not clear Andropov would have acted the same way, given the very different levels of tension in 1995 and 1983.

Comment author: The_Jaded_One 27 September 2015 08:28:59PM 1 point [-]

Sure, for what he did he deserves billions of dollars on prize money. The expected utility loss conditional on him making the decision to report the alert must be trillions of dollars.